ATP Atlanta Day 3 Predictions including Opelka vs Ivashka

Day three of the ATP Atlanta Open sees the top seeds retire. Things have gone mostly to plan so far, and the highlight of round one was hometown prospect Ben Shelton picking up the first ATP victory of his career. The real question is whether anyone can pull off a win over six-time Atlanta starter and defending champion John Isner. As always, we make our picks, including Reilly Opelka vs. Ilya Ivashka here.

ATP Atlanta Day 3 Predictions

Tommy Paul vs. Soon Woo Kwon

Head-to-head: Paul 1-0

Tommy Paul comes into Round 2 in good shape. He easily passed fellow American Jack Sock in the first round, losing just two games. He had three Wimbledon wins in his previous court appearance, and the previous two tournaments saw him pick up victories over Jannik Sinner and Denis Shapovalov. Kwon, meanwhile, is coming off his first win in two months, and he’s managed to beat low-ranked opponents almost exclusively this year. Each has a similar winning percentage on hard court, with one title apiece, and the H2H was in qualifying for Cincinnati last year. Just about everything favors Paul here.
Prediction: Paul in 2

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Brandon Nakashima vs. John Millman

Head-to-head: Nakashima 1-0

Nakashima is making his first appearance since Wimbledon, where he defeated Denis Shapovalov, and played runner-up Nick Kyrgios against a tough five sets. The rest of his season was mediocre, as was his hard-court turn, but he’s the defending runner-up here in Atlanta. Millman is having a poor season, with slightly better results on hard court, but he dropped an H2H hard court in Nakashima earlier this year. Nakashima has a ten-point higher hard-court winning percentage, and while Millman can sometimes raise his level, such as in his wins over Grigor Dimitrov and Sebastian Korda, in the normal course of things we should see the American move on. to something else.
Prediction: Nakashima in 3

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Frances Tiafoe vs. Taro Daniel

Face to face: first meeting

Taro Daniel has been a Challenger Tour player lately, although he threw a wrench into the equation by simply beating Sebastian Korda in the first round. Tiafoe sits near his career high of 25 and has had a few wins at Wimbledon, but aside from a final run earlier in the year, he hasn’t looked inspiring. He leads Daniel by 12 percentage points in hardcourt wins, although their records on the surface this year are close. All signs point to Tiafoe, including over 70 ranking places, but I don’t feel confident. Tiafoe can be streaky, and Daniel came back from a 6-1 first-set loss to Korda, who is about level with Tiafoe.
Prediction: Tiafoe in 3

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Reilly Opelka vs Ilya Ivashka

Face to face: first meeting

Reilly Opelka is surely happy to return to the hard courts. He hasn’t looked great lately, but he’s standing on a hard two-thirds winning percentage for the year, with a title and another final. Ivashka hasn’t played much on the surface this year, although his winning percentage is about the same as Opelka’s. But otherwise, he’s been playing decently for the past few months. Opelka should win this, but Ivashka is reminiscent of Andy Murray in size and style, who has always handled giants with ease. I think the American may have to fight harder than he wants to overtake his first enemy in Atlanta.
Prediction: Opelka in 3

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