ATP Gstaad final prediction: Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini

The EFG Swiss Open Gstaad produced the strongest possible final with the two top seeds facing off on Sunday. Roland Garros runner-up Casper Ruud will face former Wimbledon runner-up Matteo Berrettini. As always, at LWOT, we will preview and predict every match. Who do you think will win the title?

Final prediction ATP Gstaad

Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini

Head-to-head: Ruud 2-2 Berrettini

Defending champion Ruud is in the hunt for his ninth ATP title at just 23, although it was his Miami and Roland Garros finals that proved his improvement this season. After successfully defending his title in Geneva in May, the Norwegian is looking to confirm Switzerland as his home ground and claim his fourth title in the country. Ruud, the number one seed at Gstaad, entered the competition in the second round with a clear win over Jiri Lehecka. The quarter-final clash with Jaume Munar was more difficult for the 23-year-old, who had to save two set points in the second but managed two tiebreakers. Ruud then dismantled veteran Albert Ramos-Vinolas, allowing the Spaniard just two games in the semi-finals.

Berrettini dropped out of the Top 10 despite having a solid season due to lack of points at Wimbledon, although the Italian was unable to compete anyway due to Covid. Gstaad was his first tournament in over a month and the 2018 champion struggled on the way to the final. Berrettini also started in the second round, beating the experienced Richard Gasquet in straight sets. The 26-year-old was nearly knocked out in the quarter-finals, however, losing the first set 3-6 to Pedro Martinez. The Spaniard also had a 5-1 lead in the second set tiebreaker, but Berrettini won six straight points to take the set. The world No. 15 has been mostly dominant since, beating Martinez 6-1 in third and dropping just five points to Dominic Thiem.

It’s an intriguing match and could very well be a slam semi-final in terms of player quality. Their previous encounters have been interesting, with Ruud winning two of their three encounters on clay although Berrettini emerged victorious when they last met in Madrid last year. It’s hard to say, but I consider Ruud’s run more convincing and he should be able to put some holes in Berrettini’s game in the final.

Prediction: Ruud in 2

Main photo of Getty Images

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